I use the averages from prior years and once I see night temps above 45 I next look to my cherry trees to see if the bud is swelling and reading to bloom. Its kinda like watching something walking into your sights but your just not quite ready to pull the trigger. Once the bud blooms I'm ready to plant. Worth has mentioned that down in TX he watches his trees for signs of Early Spring. Last year my tomatoes went out 3/24 to 3/28. This year they are still inside and it Snowed 3/27 and my cherry trees haven't bloomed but others in the area are blooming away.
George
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